Posted
Authordavid siegel

The New Science of Building Teams - by Sandy Pentland

A little book by Albert Wenger: World After Capital

After you've read that, read Enough with all this Basic Income Bullishit, by Nicolas Colin

If you really want something important to happen, you should make a side bet against it. Here's why. 

A big Slideshare deck on cognitive biases - fun!

William Mougayar on the new decentralized funding model

Ed Thorp's new book, coming in January

Patrick Byrne on starting and running a decentralized company - great video

Taleb on Ed Thorp's biography

The Connection Between Varying Treatment Effects and the Crisis of Unreplicable Research: A Bayesian Perspective - paper by Andrew Gelman

Khaneman et al on noise and bias in human decisionmaking - HBR piece

Science is evolving in the wrong direction due to wrong incentives - excellent piece

The sad case of Linus Pauling, who won two Nobel Prizes and couldn't see the forest for the trees. 

One area where I think we are especially distinctive is failure. I believe we are the best place in the world to fail (we have plenty of practice!), and failure and invention are inseparable twins. To invent you have to experiment, and if you know in advance that it’s going to work, it’s not an experiment. Most large organizations embrace the idea of invention, but are not willing to suffer the string of failed experiments necessary to get there. 
    - Jeff Bezos

Posted
Authordavid siegel
Taylorism, like much of management theory to come, is at its core a collection of quasi-religious dicta on the virtue of being good at what you do, ensconced in a protective bubble of parables (otherwise known as case studies).
From The Management Myth.

Wow! Participatory Organizations, by Christopher Allen (don't miss it)

Get the GroupWorks pattern deck for improving meetings and communication.

Three Proven Ways to Navigate Uncertainty - an excellent short piece by The Ready.

Creating a Culture of Rapid Experimentation at Intuit - video

GE gets rid of annual and quarterly performance measurements, goes to a more decentralized, autonomous, real-time, start-up model

An important paper for investors - it turns out that risk is much more related to skewness than volatility.

Posted
Authordavid siegel

We have all heard that 70 percent of change initiatives fail - but, now that we think about it, where exactly does that number come from? Turns out it was basically made up. 

Marty Cagan on the Root Causes of Product Failure - video

The WEIRD bias in psychological studies - using US undergraduate students doesn't generalize the way most researchers think it does. 

For a long time, I have been saying that HP's real-money prediction market has strongly outperformed their human analysts' predictions for printer sales. And for that same period of time, I have been wrong

Posted
Authordavid siegel

 

How to conduct economic experiments. 

Consider.it is a cool decision-making tool. It's not range voting, but it uses the basic principles. 

An amazing essay, The Return of Nature, by Jesse Ausubel

Luck is not something you can mention in the presence of self-made men.
   - E. B. White

Deloitte Canada's Future of Work study.

NOBL's Future of Work collective knowledge center - amazing!

Your brain does not process information and it's not a computer, says a well-written article.  

Maybe not, but we will be able to download our brains into computers someday, maybe soon, says Robin Hanson

Four myths bosses continue to believe about employee engagement - Fast Company

Storytelling is powerful. It can easily be used against us, and we don't have good defenses - Harold Jarche

What if we wrote legal contracts the way we write code? (What if legal contracts were code?)

 

Posted
Authordavid siegel

One area where I think we are especially distinctive is failure. I believe we are the best place in the world to fail (we have plenty of practice!), and failure and invention are inseparable twins. To invent you have to experiment, and if you know in advance that it’s going to work, it’s not an experiment. Most large organizations embrace the idea of invention, but are not willing to suffer the string of failed experiments necessary to get there. 
    - Jeff Bezos

A Spectrum of Consent - blog post on all the ways people can agree and agree to disagree. 

When a Bayesian gets new information, he updates his view of  the world. I have changed my mind on recycling PET plastic and now believe it's worth doing after reading this piece in the Atlantic.

Who fact-checks the fact checkers? Do fact checkers have a strong code of conduct and strict guidelines for which facts they will check, and how? No, say Butler and Uscinsky, and they have looked hard at the issue

You might think a small percentage of people actually has an average body, but you would be wrong. No one has an average body, no one

David Anderson's series on Kanban and organizational maturity - serious reading about workflow management. 

To fix science, allow people to bet on outcomes - a Robin Hanson thought piece. 

Galileo: the man, and the myth. 

All routine work will soon be done by machines, says Harold Jarche. The challenge is to make work more human. 

Jerker Denrell, one of my favorite researchers: What We're Missing When We Study Success.

Perspective—Chance Explanations in the Management Sciences, by Jerker Denrell.

Jerker Denrell is now at Warwick! Here's his faculty page

Posted
Authordavid siegel

Doctors can make fewer patients sick by washing their hands - metastudy.

A list of ideas for improving meetings, by NOBL. 

How total agreement takes you in the wrong direction: The Abilene Paradox

Do women's menstrual cycles syncronize when they live together? No - another correlation-is-not-causation myth bites the dust. 

Get the latest on the decentralization movement at the DecentralStation.com blog

Learn more about yourself through the use of small data

Not to be confused with the above, I highly recommend reading Martin Lindstrom's insightful book, Small Data

Air BnB "redefines" their HR department to refocus on the employee experience

Celeste Headlee: How to have a Good Conversation - TED talk.

How to invest using the Kelly criterion. 

Are index funds hurting the economy and distorting prices? A New Yorker article shows they are

Beyond Budgeting's paper on self-management - get it! 

Codex: a legal scripting language for the decentralized web, and a good way to think about smart contracts. 

Posted
Authordavid siegel

"The case against science is straightforward: much of the scientific literature, perhaps half, may simply be untrue. Afflicted by studies with small sample sizes, tiny effects, invalid exploratory analyses, and flagrant conflicts of interest, together with an obsession for pursuing fashionable trends of dubious importance, science has taken a turn towards darkness."
  -Richard Horton (editor of The Lancet)

Looking for a locksmith? DON'T use Google Maps - NYTimes article

"Companies should abolish [performance] pay for their top executives because theirs is the least appropriate job for it." - this comes from the HBR piece by Dan Cable and Freek Vermeulen

Stop interviewing. Do performance auditions to avoid biases, with GapJumper software. 

The New York Times Magazine "Future of Work" issue - paywalled

Here it is: The Intel Internet of Things Infographic.

Cybercrime costs more than $400 billion annually - McAfee report.

Are Choosers Losers? - A new paper from Sunstein, et al, on the tendency to want to retain agency in the face of suboptimal decision outcomes. 

Buying votes to influence corporate decisions? Yes: Quadratic Voting as Efficient Corporate Governance, by Weyl and Posner.

Get tools and metrics from Actionable Agile

BitCongress - decentralized platform for proposing, voting on, and passing laws. Vote from your phone! 

Here's a very good video explaining that HOW we vote has a big influence on WHO gets elected. Solution: range voting. 

Does microcredit really help the borrowers? Not as much as we thought, says new research using randomized trials

"We have found that how a decision is made can significantly affect the outcome of that decision."
   - When Consensus Hurts the Company - paper

David Burkus on salary transparency - TEDx talk

A large study shows that salary transparency is beneficial

Birds of a Feather Flock Conjointly - why you should use rhymes to pursuade people. 

"Personal mission statements are the cornerstone of Morningstar's [non]management model." - an excellent piece by Gary Hamel in the HBR

How managers build mediocre portfolios - SmartOrg

A list of companies using Holocracy - hat tip to Martin Roell

Wow: Microsoft video on the Responsive Organization

Why we need full product traceability, and one company trying to provide it

Editing Wikipedia pages for love ... and money - Atlantic article (a guy offered to write my Wikipedia page for $950 and maintain it for 3 years. I said no.)

Jimmy Kimmel asks people to weigh in on the difference between iPhone 4 and 5 (it's a trick, and it worked like a charm). 

Posted
Authordavid siegel

If you do things differently only when you see an overwhelmingly good reason, you will have more than enough trouble to last you the rest of your life.
     - Eliyezer Yudkowsky

The Investors in People study on British work shows 33% of workers unhappy and 49% planning to quit in 2016. 

A new idea for presentations: 20 slides in 6 minutes and 40 seconds: Pechakucha.

The Future of Jobs - a new report by the World Economic Forum

Venture Capitalists fund entrepreneurs who think like they do - paper.

How to Pursuade People - an illustrated video by Robert Cialdini

A video series On Reality, Objectivity, Self-Deception, and Fallback Positions

Why the drug war is impossible to win

How Businesses can Benefit from Short Sprints - by Laila von Alvensleben

A new paper showing that strong agreement should weaken your assumptions, not bolster them.

Google does a three-year experiment with liquid democracy and learns a few things about group decisionmaking   - paper

Learn about iota tokens by reading their short white paper, a near frictionless token for rapid-fire, huge scale transactions, like IoT and others. Convert your cash into iota, use it, and then convert back. Smart.

From How Google Works, by Eric Schmidt and Jonathan Rosenberg: 
“One of the biggest reasons for our success, though, is that the plan we delivered to the board that day in 2003 wasn’t much of a plan at all. There were no financial projections or discussions of revenue streams. There was no market research on what users, advertisers, or partners wanted or how they fit into nicely defined market segments. There was no concept of market research or discussion of which advertisers we would target first. There was no channel strategy or discussion of how we would sell our ad products. There was no concept of an org chart, with sales doing this, product doing that and engineering doing some other that. There was no product roadmap detailing what we would build and when. There was no budget. There were no targets or milestones that the board and company leaders could use to monitor our progress. […] We left that out for the simple reason we didn’t know how we were going to do it. When it came to management tactics, the only thing we could say for sure back then was that much of what [we] had learned in the twentieth century was wrong, and that it was time to start over.” 

A UK study points out how the government can shift to using blockchain for many applications. 

If you don't set up a prediction/decision market, you may still find your group voting on issues. Use the RangeVote concept to do that - it was designed by an MIT/Princeton PhD and has a lot of advantages over other voting systems. If you're interested, read the paper

A little bit of negative information can enhance a positive image - Stanford research

Buffer changed their compensation equation - learn how.

Double-blind: Can you pick the Stradivarius? - try it! 

We think we're good at telling when someone is lying, but we're lying to ourselves - New Yorker article (Interesting, but I'm skeptical of the study methodologies mentioned)

All things being equal, good looking female students do get better grades - paper. 

 

Posted
Authordavid siegel

Factor by which the rate of retraction of scientific papers has increased in the past four decades : 10

Portion of retractions that stem from fraud, plagiarism, or duplicate publications : 2/3

Estimated amount of National Institutes of Health funding that has gone to studies withdrawn after publication : $58,000,000

Are you sweeping failure under the rug? Fail Forward will guide you in managing and learning from failure.  

Are you still doing performance reviews? Try Wirl.ca - a new tool for providing constant feedback instead. 

The Rise and Decline of an Open Collaboration System: How Wikipedia’s reaction to popularity is causing its decline - research paper

Augur - a blockchain-based prediction market that can't be killed. Cool. See their video. 

The case for true majority rule in voting systems - Scientific American

A good short video explains the 18+ year "pause" in global average temperatures.

It's a good thing doctors get it right more often than they get it wrong. Barely. 

You know those large floating rafts of plastic garbage accumulating in the middle of the ocean? They don't exist. 

Is MSG safe to eat? Yes-the message that MSG is bad for you was a misunderstanding. - short video 

A recent metastudy confirms that you should probably be taking statins. 

An amazing rap video series on Keynes vs Hayek - must watch.

Marc Andreesen's productivity tips

Should you get a flu shot? Yes.

A nice interview with Philip Tetlock on superforecasting

The famous Dr Fox lecture, in which an "expert" delivers a bullshit lecture and people accept it as brilliant - 6 min. 

Speaking of bullshit, here's a paper on how researchers got people to believe spurious bullshit sentences, calling them profound

Philip Zimbardo interview on how hierarchy begets evil behavior

Posted
Authordavid siegel

John Perry's excellent essay on Structured Procrastination.

Yes, 65 percent of megaprojects really do fail

Robin Hanson summarizes Byron Sharp's amazing book, How Brands Grow, turning traditional marketing on its head using evidence and measurement. Bottom line: people randomly go from brand to brand much more than we think! 

How one startup switched from SCRUM to Kanban and now everyone is happy. 

Erika Hall on how to spend $300 and get priceless information about your customers before designing your minimum viable product. 

How development agencies can become more like labs, less like bureaucracies - NYT article (paywalled)

DNA evidence only works if you get it from the person who committed the crime. New work suggests we often don't. 

The IDoneThis guide to daily standup meetings - improve your productivity and communication in a flat organization with a daily standup. 

Is there value in sending kids to preschool and kindergarten? A new Stanford study shows compelling evidence that skipping kindergarten is better for kids, and the effects last at least until age 11.

What separates a good CEO from a bad CEO? Several new studies point to the ultimate influence: luck

Posted
Authordavid siegel

Meetings in organizations often take the appearance of searching for design proposals and evaluating proposals presented. But in fact proposals have usually been selected beforehand, and the meeting is to create an appearance of support for them, and for the story presented about who deserves credit. - Robin Hanson

Now we know at least one preschool program that doesn't help kids in later school years. Are there others? 

Remember that big hole in the ozone layer we managed to patch up by getting rid of CFC molecules? It probably had nothing to do with CFCs and is just natural variance. 

Does divestment work? No, says a big piece in the New Yorker. 

What I Learned about Climate Change: The Science is not Settled - David Siegel

How Tony Hsieh manages email - smart

Will Evans does it again - another awesome slide deck on culture and process. 

Wikis for law firms - yes, lawyers can change! 

The Open Organization - a smart book on building 21st century companies by Philip Foster (here's a sample chapter)

An OECD research paper on the growing gap between today's most productive companies and the rest of the pack

Sam Shank tracked every minute of every day for a month and learned how to change his schedule to be more productive. 

Managing without a Road Map at Google - by Rita King

Multicriteria Attribute Analysis - a manual for decisionmaking at large institutions

At Buffer, they hire for culture fit, not technical capability.

How the Zappos switch to Holocracy went down - New Republic

Finland's education system is one of the best in the world without rules or academics for young children - The Atlantic

Should you use Slack or another special-purpose tool for project-based messages, or simply fix your broken inbox with Turing Email? - Tell me what works for you.

The Buffer Culture Deck 

Posted
Authordavid siegel

It's not just the habit of attributing your failure to being stupid that holds you back but also the habit of attributing your success to being smart. - Alfie Kohn

Stop multitasking, try the Pomodoro technique - Ignite talk

A short story on working in pairs. 

Culture, Engagement, and Retention is now the NUMBER ONE problem of companies around the world- Deloitte survey

198 papers on behavioral finance by one guy: Victor Ricciardi - impressive.

Michael Mauboussin on the value of luck in business - video.

Is nature losing the fight against humanity? Not really - in fact nature is bouncing back pretty well, says Jesse Ausubel of Rockefeller University.

Alfie Kohn on the dangers of extrinsic rewards

Should prostitution be legalized? An evidence-based review of the literature shows that legalization is overall beneficial for sex workers. 

I thought the war on drugs was responsible for much of the US prison population, but I was wrong. The war on drugs has failed miserably, but prison populations are caused by other larger factors. 

How SoundCloud migrated to microservices and cut out a ton of waste in their processes - great stuff. 

How US gun laws (and results) compare to the rest of the world

Predictocracy - a book on how prediction markets will help us all make better decisions.

Adam Grant on friendship at work.

Shall We Vote on Values but Bet on Beliefs? - an exploration of using market mechanisms to govern institutions by Robin Hanson.

Posted
Authordavid siegel
Scientists consciously attempt to isolate causal factors, while one powerful characteristic of evolution is that it proceeds without conscious intervention. 
         - Jim Manzi

Manuel Lima: Visualizing Networks - TED talk

Zara doesn't forecast demand, they respond to it. - Slate article

The Remarkable Power of the Monte Carlo method

Doug Hubbard interview on reducing uncertainty in decisions. 

Is the FDA Too Conservative or Too Aggressive? - by Alex Tabarrok

Science Isn't Broken, it's Just Hard - a piece by Christie Aschwanden of FiveThirtyEight.com, including a truly fantastic app that lets you search for political causation (unfortunately, 538 have their own biases and are not neutral). 

Does the NFL combine analysis predict future performance? Pretty well, says Bill Lotter. Not at all, says Frank Kuzmits.

An important contributor to team effectiveness is informal communication - HBR article

More unnecessary surgery, this time for breast cancer - NY Times article

Have symptoms? Don't call a doctor, just go to Your.md.

Remember DDT?  We banned it. We shouldn't have. 

A meta-meta-analysis of what works and what doesn't in education (the US mostly does what has already been proven not to work). 

Wow: Augur is a distributed prediction market that will be very hard to shut down

The Mouse Trap - how one strain of mouse is probably skewing our medical research in the wrong direction. Important. 

Publication Bias and Motivated Reasoning - Scilogs piece

First metastudy I've seen on climate projections indicates only a modest rise predicted for global temperature. 

The Myth of the Great Man in Science - MIT Review piece

Wow: a Thinkmap tool to visualize the millions of relationships among thousands of genes. Drive it now! 

Chris Cancialosi on why your financials should be transparent. 

Stowe Boyd on The Future of Work - many Medium.com pieces

The Fehr Advice Behavioral Change matrix - changing behavior rather than minds.

How one startup got rid of email, meetings, and bosses - and thrived.

Did you know: The diamond engagement ring is a completely made-up marketing scam?

Posted
Authordavid siegel
Exposure is more important than risk. People don't get this. They try to reduce risk and then scale up, but that doesn't make much difference if their competitors are all doing the same thing. To deal with uncertainty, dial up the risk and dial the exposure down.
  - David Siegel

How they work in pairs at Thoughtworks

Does an MBA help get you where you want to go? Yes, say FT and Bloomberg; but, it's not what you think, says Jeffery Pfeffer. 

Does a higher minimum wage actually help low-income people? It's complicated, says David Brooks

Glassdoor's comprehensive study shows many benefits of salary transparency

Undercurrent's Learn page is a short guide to the responsive organization. 

Undercurrent's guide to a sprint kick-off meeting

Chris Messina on The Full Stack Employee - essay

Wow. Unorthodox research leads to a complete revolution in swimming technique. Once everyone is doing it, luck will return as a determining factor, but for now, it's all about skill. The pool is open. 

 

Posted
Authordavid siegel
Top performance and outcomes are often produced by things besides skill, so we shouldn’t reward them as much as we do.
            - Jerker Denrell

How SoundCloud keeps teams collaborating in four offices around the world - FirstRound Capital blog

Extreme Value Theory as a Risk Management Tool - nice paper, read the first paragraph.

I've heard it said, "You don't add simplicity in, you take complexity out." I don't believe this is true. You actually add simplicity in. It's a skill. Few people have it.  - David Siegel

Here it is: The iDoneThis Ultimate Guide to Awesome Meetings

Do.com - a platform for managing, improving, and recording meetings. 

Don't have meetings for status updates! Use iDoneThis instead. 

Don't let strategy become planning - HBR article by Roger Martin 

Why do only a small number of brand-name universities produce the majority of tenured professors? Maybe it has something to do with anchoring and signaling

How Disney reinvented the theme park experience, because they were dead if they didn't - This is the planning fallacy in real life: it's more about the culture and the process than the plans and powerpoints. Fast Company article

Hospital Kaizen: finding ways to continually reduce the time it takes to treat heart-attack victims has paid huge dividends - NYTimes article

Atul Gawande on Why Doctors Fail - video

Vineet Nayar on Employees First, Customers Second - a short talk.

Judith Curry's company, CFAN, helps companies make realistic decisions based on realistic climate forecasts. 

Forget the experts - hire ConsensusPoint to build a prediction market that helps you make far better forecasts. 

Donald Hoffman's excellent TED talk on the gap between perception and reality

Here is Hoffman's bio page with several great videos to watch.

Chris Sacca's blog post on how Twitter can be more responsive to its users

"Economics has a reputation for producing rigorous nonsense." - a nice piece on uncritical thinking, by the incomparable Tim Harford. 

Plotting Likert and Other Rating Scales - a nice paper on how to work with subjective data

A collection of graphs showing that correlation is not causation - funny

Can you truly imagine what other people are going through? No, says the research. - NY Times article

The amazing Management Information Exchange video page - so much to watch and learn there! 

Experts with sensational predictions simply are those who get lucky; we tend to forget all the predictions they made that didn't come true. - an HBR interview with Jerker Denrell

What Kind of Leadership do Flat Companies Need? - FastCompany article

A wonderful MIT lecture by Philip Evans on the future of data and how it impacts society - enjoy it! 

The story of Anthony Gatto - not everyone who works hard gets rewarded. 

Posted
Authordavid siegel
 Corporations and other organizations do not have cultures; they have philosophies and ideologies that form a process in which there is a constant discourse about the nature and expression of values, beliefs, practices, ideas, and goals. This discourse happens in sales meetings, interactions with customers, board meetings, and in conversations around the water cooler. It’s a constantly moving target.
     - John Traphagan, "Why Company Culture is a Misleading Term."

What Google searches tell us about sex - by Seth Stephens-Davidowitz

Are polar bears threatened by warming and loss of polar ice? No, according to a team of evidence-based modelers

Radical transparency can really work - HBR article

We can all rest assured that investment firms have learned their lesson. Whoops, no we can't, a new study of ethical behavior among investment professionals finds

Richard Dawkins: The Discontinuous Mind - short essay

Build a Change Platform, not a Change Program - by Gary Hamel and Michele Zanini

How the teams at Undercurrent do "load balancing" to manage resources and workflow. 

Teaching kindergartners to read and do math is based on a "profound misunderstanding" of child development - NY Times 

Carefully measuring the effectiveness of giving children bicycles to ride to school in India - great methodology videos

When Climate Models Fail - book by Bob Tisdale

Rather than the Fed moving interest rates by committee, Scott Sumner recommends crowdsourcing the Fed's Open Market operations - cool paper, but a bit technical. 

Matt Ridley on why he doesn't believe there will be much man-made global warming this century. - blog

My favorite take on pre-historic global temperature measurement - according to the data we have so far, it looks like we're in a short-term rise in the middle of a long-term cooling trend - by Jo Nova

Sorry Al Gore, but your evidence on global warming is slip-sliding away - how the temperature data was cherrypicked

A MUST SEE video on climate science and the evidence, by Warren Meyer

The classic Dave Snowden/Mary Boone piece on leadership and decision context - HBR article

The evolution of the concept of evolution was complicated and convoluted - NYT article

If a time machine could serve up to you your 200 million greats grandfather, you would eat him with tartar sauce and a slice of lemon. He was a fish. Yet you are connected to him by an unbroken line of intermediate ancestors, every one of whom belonged to the same species as its parents and its children.
   - Richard Dawkins

How they run meetings at Medium - blog post

Focus on simple solutions you can test - Fast Company Article

US jails are full of unconvicted poor people who can't afford bail - NY Times opinion

Great tip: use data tables in Excel to create visual what-if scenarios

The inspiring MindValley TED talk

Scientific Reports tries to fast-track peer review - and gets a facefull of backlash

Jeff Bezos's shareholder letter: "Experiments and more experiments." 

Did QE cause the markets to rise? It's complicated, says Terry Burnham. 

Beware of simple stories told by people like Danny Kahneman and Malcolm Gladwell, they might be wrong. 

How to Grow without Crushing Agility and Creativity - they do it at Atlassian every day. 

How and why writers should write in pairs. 

A demonstration of a brain/body bias - you can't ride a backwards bicycle, even if you think you can. 

Posted
Authordavid siegel

"The market failures of the past were when consumers did not get what they want.  The market failures of the future will come when consumers do get what they want." - Tyler Cowen

The Wired article on Kevin Dunbar and the myths of scientific discovery everyone should read.

How much information do you need to make a decision? - Pat Leach blog

Choose which decision tool to use depending on circumstances - HBR article.

More evidence that you can't multitask

Why CEOs should spend half their time hiring - nice article by the First Round team

Edward Tufte's grand truths about human behavior. 

Cass Sunstein's new paper on Risk: Cheneyism vs Snowdenism and a better context for deciding what to do.

Surprise! Stock analysts have conflict of interest - reseach paper

Graphic: How much water it takes to produce one ounce of the various foods we eat. - LA Times

A new metastudy by the Kaufmann Foundation draws the right conclusion for the wrong reasons: no evidence that incubators and accelerators help start-ups succeed. 

Does increasing minimum wage help people get out of poverty? No, says a new study

A Stanford study shows that every hour you work over 55 per week is a total waste. 

The problem with the Ebola outbreak was that we didn't really know that Ebola was endemic to Liberia. Oh, wait. Yes, we did. 

A fantastic infographic on teams vs individuals. 

What's your answer to Newcomb's Paradox

Curse of the lottery debunked: new research shows most lottery winners generally happier, not broke. 

A good review of Holocracy - worth checking out

Turnover in the Fortune 500 a sign of our times? No, and it may not be a sign of anything but statistical variance, says the Kauffman Foundation report. 

 

Posted
Authordavid siegel

Most companies are not in failure mode. Rather, they are trapped in a sort of slow, twisting train wreck that most people can't see and doesn't affect them day-to-day. The erosion/destruction comes as much from the inside as from external factors. - David Siegel

Exciting! Eliezer Yudkowsky's writing now available on Kindle

A lovely, enjoyable, intellectual journey through the land of abstraction, by Ashish Kumar. 

Wanna vs Hafta: Why Choice Works - Psychology Today article

The Science of Misremembering - You are Not So Smart

From the front lines of the California water drought: Almond farming uses as much water in one year as all of Los Angeles uses in three. 

Very exciting, please explore The Center for Open Science

We all know what caused the housing bubble to burst and trigger the Great Recession, except we're wrong

Is Monsanto's Roundup insecticide safe, or does it cause cancer? It's complicated, says the New York Times.

What's going on with Fortune-500 turnover? Not what most people think (hint - it's more complicated than that). 

Surprisingly, the curse of the lottery is largely a myth! 

Why your late-night emails are hurting your team - HBR article

Most startups never even see a venture capitalist, even most of the fastest-growing companies in America - short article

Fantastic: The Alan Alda Center for Communicating Science. 

Why you should publish titles with odd-numbers of list items - from the Betaworks data science team.

People have a hard time when facts confront their deep beliefs, but there are a few things we can do to loosen them - Salon.com

Dan Ariely shows that people cheat less when they are first reminded of their own moral code, and in any event they don't cheat nearly as much as they can - Wired article

Are you still doing annual forecasts and budgets? Learn about rolling forecasts. 

Adam Pisoni of Yammer on efficiency vs agility - must read. Another great manifesto. 

Watch the amazing Paul Akers teach the world about lean

Here it is - The Carl Sagan Bullshit Detector! 

"We don’t predict correctly what will drive our behavior and, as a consequence, we need to be more careful. What happens is you have intuitions and axioms about the world, and you assume they are perfectly correct. I think we should just start doubting our assumptions more regularly and submitting them to empirical tests." - Dan Ariely

Posted
Authordavid siegel